Smart microwave ovens. Nobody will want them, but at least they’ll run Doom.
Their neural network will imagine a whole doom game in real-time
Climate change is already happening. We’ll have some gadgets to help cope with that.
Personal coolers already exist. They’ll get more practical and more common.
Maybe there’ll be commercially available filtered air systems that keep houses at positive pressure to deal with wildfire smoke.
Everything will be over insulated. We’ll all where “parkas” with integrated water cooling for our 6 month summers when we go outside
There’s a japanese company working on a kidney rejuvination drug for cats that’s meant to come out next year (potential 10 year increase in average lifespan) so we’ll almost certainly have that in 10 years which will be nice.
While I think our current brute force method attempt at AI is already hitting the limits of how ‘smart’ it can be I suspect over the next few years we’ll develop far lighter models until your phone having a simulated personality is just a standard (hopefully optional) feature. They’ll probably also have an online feature to cross reference their own answers with wikipedia or something.
Deaslination is likely to get significantly better by sheer neccesity.
I like to think we’ll have higher frequency rectennas though probably not optical frequency ones.
rectennas
Don’t like the sound of that
Greetings. Fisto is programmed for your pleasure. Please assume the position. Activating main rectenna.
In ten years time,
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Locally-sourced technology innovations.
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3D-Printers in every village. ( Prints shirts, shoes, pants, socks, replacement parts )
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Plant-based Plastics ( seaweed and hemp/copra/palm )
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Total breakdown of Petro-chemicals ( Saudi, Iran, Indonesia, OPEC, Russia ) no more Petro-Global-economy
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CNG/LNG from Biomass and big farming takeover.
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Solar/Wind/Tidal Electricity generation technology maturations.
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Massive Trades-based Education and less PhD based international studies.
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Rapid Rebuild from MAJOR Disasters ( flooding, fires, tsunami, earthquake, volcano, hurricane, tornado, Cat-6 storms , etc )
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Any country heavily dependent on Import/Export with zero local production/productivity will go back to the StoneAge ( tough reality for small countries / city-states )
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Massive World-Wars everywhere. Massive Militarization ZERO Democracies surviving including USofA.
https://www.opensourceecology.org/gvcs/
Seems like something you would find interesting.
Sure. If I wuz a millionaire with acres of land to buy and setup this level of equipment :-D
I will most likely either not survive the future or will be part of the peon population.
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Dirt cheap genetic sequencing and MRNA vaccines will be available to cure various types of cancer.
I wish. Genetic sequencing is already pretty cheap, but cancer is not some all-encompassing disease to be cured by it.
There will be custom printed MRNA vaccines that target cancers based on sequencing that cancer’s own DNA.
Mass produced sodium ion batteries, even cheaper solar panels, scalable water desalination, military adoption of quantum entanglement communication, high speed rail in California, MacBooks with a touchscreen
deleted by creator
X11. It will outlive humankind.
Hand-axes and wooden spears with sharp obsidian spearheads.
I’m not sure what more technology we can invent to distract us from realizing how increasingly poor we’ve become.
I mean, a sex robot couldn’t hurt.
I think we’re past due for a major technological breakthrough in energy storage that 1) increases energy density, 2) decreases max charge/discharge time, and 3) is more sustainable than, say Lithium.
With how much R&D seems to be pouring into this right now, I have at least hope.
I remember hearing about the development of solid-state batteries a few years ago and I have been anxiously awaiting any news regarding the concept since.
There are battery banks using solid state that are shipping today!
lol damn
Yeah, that was a bit of a disappointment. When I saw the first video from Undecided, I was really hyped that solid state batteries are actually here at last. I guess we’ll just have to wait a bit longer to see if it’s actually true.
It took about 10 years for the internet to go from academic curiosity to mainstream.
It took about 10 years from the first BlackBerry devices to iPhone/Android ubiquity.
I think VR and AI are at these points right now.
You’ve heard of deep fakes he’s? Now we got real fakes.
Proper “AI”. No more coding, you just tell the machine what to do and it will do it. I don’t think in the physical world but computers and every profession that is not physical will be much rarer. Either pivot to AI Management or be the arms that the AI “guides” through a task.
Although, now that I think of it, 10 years might not be enough for such a change.
We already have that, there are already people whose sole job is telling the machine what to do in specific enough terms that the machine doesn’t make mistakes. It’s called programmers. People who think LLMs can replace programmers don’t understand what a programmer does. An AGI will surely make programmers obsolete, but it would also make any other job obsolete and I don’t think we’re 10 years away from one.
I’m not talking about an “AI” replacing programmers on coding. I mean making programming and coding obsolete. A new paradigm on how software is made. It won’t be coded. There won’t be different software for different tasks, just one software running everywhere and everything.
But yeah, like I said, 10 years is maybe too little for that.
What you’re describing is called the Singularity, and it’s an AGI, we’re not even close to anything remotely similar to that. I’m not even sure we’ll get there in my lifetime.
Don’t be a condescending little prick, mate.
I’m not talking about an AGI or a singularity. It’s a long way between where we are and what we have now and that.
What I’m talking about will happen in the meantime and will finally allow me to not deal with Prima Donnas who think they’re the last coca cola in the desert because they can copy paste code from stackoverflow.
You’re talking about a computer you can ask it to do any stuff and it not only understands what you ask (computers can do this now) but what you mean (you need an AGI for that).
You can already replace anyone whose sole job is to copy paste stuff from stack overflow, but that’s not all a programmer does.
There’s an excellent demonstration of what being a programmer is that some teachers do on a programming 101 class which is have the students describe step by step how to do day-to-day tasks, and always people will skip steps or not consider corner cases. Being a programmer is knowing how to explain stuff to a computer in an unambiguous way, and until computers gave a general intelligence they’ll not do ambiguous tasks or make wrong assumptions about it. If LLMs became advanced enough that you could “prompt” the computer to do stuff, the prompt would have to be very specific, and written in a very specific way, which would essentially become a programming language.
You’re stuck in the current paradigm about how software works. What I’m talking about is not a current paradigm and it’s not AGI.
We don’t need AGI for what I’m talking about. You’re fixated on programmatically tell a computer how to do something and I’m not sure you’re just being difficult or can’t grasp or imagine what I’m imagining.
We already have useful LLMs for different tasks. Heck, my team is developing software to perform different tasks using LLMs that if we had to program from scratch we’d be so fucked! Right now, not 2 years after the first version of ChatGPT was released. Do you think this technology will remain the same or will continuously be developed into something that most of us cannot comprehend or will even deny, like you’re doing now?
It’s your right to not agree with me, and I accept it, but don’t say I’m wrong mate, you can’t possibly know!
And don’t talk about AGI or singularity like it’s the next step, you’re doing a disservice to yourself.
You haven’t really described what you are imagining.
Proper “AI”. No more coding, you just tell the machine what to do and it will do it. I don’t think in the physical world but computers and every profession that is not physical will be much rarer. Either pivot to AI Management or be the arms that the AI “guides” through a task.
Telling a computer specifically what to do and how to do it without making mistakes is coding. Programming is a level above that, in designing the architecture of how to approach the business problem.
What the other commentator is saying, is that simple being able to tell some model ‘build an app that does XYZ’ requires AGI because that set of instructions is not complete - the machine requires outside knowledge and the ability to make judgement calls in order to complete it.
If that isn’t what you meant, it is at least what you said. The breakdown in communication here, between humans, should also serve as another reminder how difficult it is to convey an idea to another entity and how that problem will remain difficult for a very long time.
I think the “smart” home will become more common.
I don’t mean that we’ll see smart versions of new things, but more of the basic things, like Light fixtures, smoke alarms, doorbells etc. Consumers will buy less and less of the “dumb” things until EVERYTHING has WiFi built into it.
The Insteon crisis
