• 13 Posts
  • 959 Comments
Joined 2 years ago
cake
Cake day: October 19th, 2024

help-circle

  • In 2003 Liftport forecast they would build the first space elevator by 2018. Since then, nobody has been able to solve the problem of catalysts gradually degrading, and other issues that limit the length of carbon nanotubes to about half a meter. So research has mostly given up on trying to make really long nanotubes tubes and is focused on weaving shorter ones together into a “yarn”. But the yarn has only 1 or 2% of the tensile strength of individual nanotubes - too weak to be a tether material.

    So it’s not like there’s a steady stream of progress. The field seems to be waiting for a new revolutionary nanotube making process that avoids the original problems. Recent forecasts I’ve seen don’t expect the tech to get here until near the end of this century. With climate change becoming a more pressing issue (finally) my bet is more like well into the next century. That’s what makes me think better, cheaper rocket propulsion will come along sooner.




  • When I can’t find something in the house after searching for a few minutes, I make a conscious decision to give up and take another approach - go buy the missing tool again, use a different material, whatever. The point is to decide it doesn’t matter where the thing is. Most of the time I immediately look right at whatever I was looking for - as in within a few seconds. Family members are used to hearing me say out loud, “I’m just gonna go to Tru-Value and get another - Oh, here it is!” It works that fast and is very reliable.

    My theory about this is that part of my brain knows where the item is all along, but enjoys the treasure hunt and won’t let the information come to the conscious level. But once I sincerely decide to give up the search - it has to be a genuine decision, there’s no faking it - that part of my brain knows the game is over and reveals where the thing is. But who knows, I’m no psychologist.






  • Space elevators. I used to be a huge fan but I’ve lost faith in the concept. For one thing, there’s been little progress toward creating the unfathomably long carbon fiber tether - about 35,000 km (22000 mi). Then there’s the tether’s vulnerability to damage or destruction - a fixed target in an unstable world. A break means total failure. We also have no idea how the material would degrade over time. Not that the technology is impossible, I just expect space travel to become cheap enough to make space elevators obsolete long before the tech is there to build them.


  • I wouldn’t call you a hypocrite, let alone a massive fucking one, but definitely self-absorbed and guilty of overgeneralizing one person to a whole generation - which is not only grossly inaccurate but I think is more significant than being annoyed by throwaway words, which is more of a little pet peeve. Do you srsly categorize your friends as “my GenZ friend” or “the boomer guy I work with” etc? That’s kinda fucked up, and I say “kinda” because it’s not like you burned down an orphanage or anything.







  • I’m a devoted user of blocking. Happy to converse with people who take issue with my comments, but if they shift into angry insult mode, or all they’re doing is arguing against their own weird extrapolations of something, that’s when they get blocked. There are plenty of people in the world who are able to act civil when they don’t agree with somebody. There’s really no need to bother with the ones who can’t.