Summary
NASA has lowered the estimated risk of asteroid 2024 YR4 striking Earth in December 2032 to 1.5%, down from 3.1% a day earlier. The European Space Agency’s (ESA) estimate stands at 1.38%.
The asteroid, 40-90 meters wide, could cause significant city-level destruction but not a global catastrophe.
The projected impact corridor spans the Pacific, South America, Africa, and South Asia.
NASA also estimates a 0.8% chance of the asteroid hitting the Moon.
So you’re tell me there’s a chance?
Relevant username
I’m a Powerball man…
Those are great odds!
What do we need to get this to %100?
Everyone hoping there’s still a chance, you need to remember… this is only a city-killer asteroid.
We need to hope for a much bigger asteroid.
I hope it’s not headed for Buenos Aires, but I’m ready to do my part.
Bets on it being totally ignored by the world if it turns out to be aimed at Africa?
Africa actually does seem to be the most likely impact if it were to hit. The predicted impact would be along the equator.
Well, that’s disappointing…
Giant Meteor for Earth President 2032!
Why wait? The best time would have been the dawn of civilization. The second best time is now.
Can we please not post daily updates? This is still 7 years away
Don’t look up.
I am down to have monthly updates for the next few years, weekly updates through 2031, and daily updates throughout 2032
I just feel like if we do daily updates for the next 7 years when it’s in all likelihood going to miss us, we’ll be too complacent when an asteroid does have an impact trajectory
The global astronomical community expects the odds of an asteroid to hit Earth in December 2032 to eventually fall to zero.
I love how they make it seem like some insider expertise versus knowing basics of how percentages work.
Boourns!
The way the world is going, it might not be a bad thing if it hits us.
I feel like hitting the moon could fuck us up even worse long term, with effects on the ocean?
Much much much much larger objects have hit the moon in the past
Is this the new seven minutes to midnight? We’re 1.5% to asteroid.
