Africa actually does seem to be the most likely impact if it were to hit. The predicted impact would be along the equator.

He will get a preemptive pardon so it doesn’t matter.

Because there is no doubt China will surpass USA at some point in the very near future.

There certainly is doubt. The population is already declining and the economy has been growing far slower, as of late, than it should. The US also has more powerful allies, we’ll see how much damage Trump will afflict on that front. China’s ascent seemed certain a decade ago, now it is doubtful.

Well, agreements aren’t worth the paper they’re written on if you can’t enforce them when push comes to shove. I agree that the US is less interested in meddling in every affair all over the world, but it’s a mistake to think that they’re not interested in maintaining hegemony and their status as the pre-eminent superpower. That’s the whole reason for the pivot to Asia, and both the Dems and Republicans are in agreement there: The goal is to contain China.

The danger, from Beijing’s perspective, is that the US can cut off or constrict maritime trade in the event of conflict or high tensions. China is a major importer of both, fossil fuels and food, as well as dependent on exports for its economy, as we all know. So controll over Taiwan and the South China Sea is seen as absolutely crucial, obviously to China, but naturally to the US too.

Unhindered access to global shipping, mostly.

What does this even mean?

You can sign up for the Ukraine foreign legion. Why haven’t you done so?

If they want to sign up to fight in Ukraine, they can go and fight in Ukraine. Calling for others to fight in Ukraine is a completely different thing.

Only if you’re first in line

AfD was not founded by former SS officers, wtf are you talking about?

The US warned repeatedly that Russia was going to invade.

You are drawing sweeping conclusions from very limited evidence. None of this shows a large part of the population voting for radical climate action, a few more people voting a little bit more centre left doesn’t mean much. It’s particularly telling that you’re trying to use the last EU election as evidence. Are you not aware that there was a right-ward shift in the European Parliament? The Greens in particular lost a lot. The EU continuing its course is far more indicative of technocratic governance over a democratic mandate.

You are deliberately obfuscating, to manufacture the appearance of support where there is too little. The issue is not that there is no climate action, the issue is that there is not enough of it. People, at least broadly, get the climate action that they vote for. Until climate swings elections in the way that the economy or migration does, the message to politicians will continue to be that people have other priorities.

No shit people are for fighting climate change in the abstract. But we’re not living in an abstract world, we are living in an actual one. One, where needs and desires compete. And consistently, other desires take priority over fighting climate change. There obviously isn’t as much support for actually combating climate change in the real world, with real consequences for real humans as you people assume.

If they have such high public support why doesn’t the public vote accordingly?

only 30% thought disruptive tactics were effective for issues with high awareness but low support

As if this is what was needed to prove it. Trump once answered a question about the failings of western liberalism by talking about how liberal cities on the west coast were doing badly.

The argument isn’t that they’re “evil”, it’s that they could be used as tools by strategic rivals.

But it has seen an impact, it resulted in the JCPOA

You asked for an example of a country changing its attitude, that is what happened in Iran to negotiate the nuclear deal. Now you are moving the goal posts and claiming that it wasn’t sufficiently successful in the long run. That may well be, but it has nothing to do with the presence or absence of sanctions.

I also want to point out that sanctions often work far more subtly than what you imagine. If six months from now, Ukraine and Russia engage in successful peace talks, sanctions will certainly have played a role in shifting Russia’s position closer to that of Ukraine, but on the surface it will be impossible to tell by how much.