Since then, betting markets show Orbán’s stock has fallen marginally, though there is no suggestion that his declining fortunes have been caused by Vance’s intervention.
So betting markets not polls, which would be pricing in the diminishing uncertainty as the day draws near, and it wasn’t like a sudden drop either.
There might not be a story here. Orban was losing, and he’s still losing.
So someone will bet big on him on Friday and they’ll do everything possible that he wins.
Remember Trumps son is a part of pollymarkets board
If you’re in Fidesz you already have a major financial stake in him winning. And maybe a stay-out-of-jail stake.
I do rather hate that so many news orgs seem to be using polymarket et al as a drop-in replacement for actual polling, because polymarket is loosely affiliated, if at all, with reality. It’s a fucking betting platform. There’s nothing scientific or statistical about it that aligns with demographic realities.
Not to mention that a quality poll would just be among qualified likely voters in the election in question, where as polymarket is just gambling addicts anywhere on the planet.
Lol
Did you say thank you?
JD Vance is the human equivalent of a sad trombone
Since then, betting markets show Orbán’s stock has fallen marginally, though there is no suggestion that his declining fortunes have been caused by Vance’s intervention.
Betting markets. Grain of salt taken.
the Trump bump killed Pierre Poilievre’s 30% lead in Canada, and even after the loss, his MPs are all looking to defect to the Liberals.
These guys are clueless, this is not what Canada wants to see in political leadership…
I wouldn’t mind if Carney or Lewis went on JRE though.
The walking ballot-poison.
Chef’s kiss!
Hmmm, couch fucker should do a world tour. Damage them all.
I know he kills Orban’s chances just like he killed the pope.
One can only hope.
smug lol
Why are we taking g the opinions of degenerate addicts and pretending it is relevant or scientific in any way?
If it wasn’t clear that Orban is just a puppet before, then you must have noticed after this.
